Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.008494 0.009975 0.011751 0.014071 0.017073 0.020904 0.026292
2025-09-28 0.006787 0.008612 0.011064 0.014720 0.020279 0.028877 0.044293
2025-10-05 0.006049 0.008107 0.011108 0.016071 0.024697 0.040608 0.077326
2025-10-12 0.005384 0.007502 0.010780 0.016645 0.028010 0.052488 0.125185
2025-10-19 0.004745 0.006794 0.010106 0.016384 0.029620 0.062051 0.184188
2025-10-26 0.004317 0.006337 0.009732 0.016530 0.032110 0.075834 0.294763
2025-11-02 0.003911 0.005849 0.009207 0.016230 0.033457 0.087867 0.450328
2025-11-09 0.003487 0.005277 0.008438 0.015237 0.032684 0.092522 0.592217
2025-11-16 0.003155 0.004827 0.007833 0.014467 0.032240 0.098392 0.809330
2025-11-23 0.002980 0.004630 0.007675 0.014658 0.034633 0.119361 1.592574
2025-11-30 0.002776 0.004360 0.007337 0.014356 0.035428 0.134427 2.894582
2025-12-07 0.002568 0.004066 0.006915 0.013770 0.035088 0.143401 4.872123
2025-12-14 0.002414 0.003872 0.006705 0.013760 0.037108 0.174293 19.893527
2025-12-21 0.002326 0.003794 0.006732 0.014391 0.042045 0.245003 271095.383038
2025-12-28 0.002293 0.003817 0.006977 0.015699 0.050994 0.412386 NaN
2026-01-04 0.002208 0.003729 0.006959 0.016255 0.057265 0.620559 NaN
2026-01-11 0.002083 0.003546 0.006700 0.016002 0.059281 0.788059 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001992 0.003427 0.006573 0.016144 0.063833 1.142725 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001887 0.003268 0.006333 0.015854 0.065622 1.488034 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001757 0.003048 0.005921 0.014891 0.062350 1.506249 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001648 0.002865 0.005586 0.014145 0.060210 1.598865 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001593 0.002794 0.005520 0.014331 0.064951 2.574008 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001520 0.002679 0.005332 0.014038 0.065973 3.416303 NaN